Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.044188 0.051506 0.059650 0.069382 0.080698 0.093444 0.108895
2025-11-02 0.033626 0.043418 0.055457 0.071346 0.091774 0.117175 0.151195
2025-11-09 0.025828 0.036066 0.049650 0.068995 0.095854 0.131871 0.183932
2025-11-16 0.021305 0.031725 0.046447 0.068758 0.101754 0.148828 0.221263
2025-11-23 0.017922 0.028213 0.043556 0.068097 0.106421 0.164097 0.257764
2025-11-30 0.015801 0.026134 0.042300 0.069426 0.113888 0.184061 0.303631
2025-12-07 0.013698 0.023700 0.040049 0.068707 0.117800 0.198709 0.342738
2025-12-14 0.011785 0.021257 0.037382 0.066813 0.119328 0.209410 0.376385
2025-12-21 0.010198 0.019127 0.034911 0.064830 0.120291 0.219046 0.409149
2025-12-28 0.009339 0.018169 0.034345 0.066114 0.127154 0.239729 0.464269
2026-01-04 0.008471 0.017064 0.033346 0.066418 0.132159 0.257508 0.516093
2026-01-11 0.007700 0.016032 0.032337 0.066538 0.136759 0.274964 0.569369
2026-01-18 0.007096 0.015272 0.031789 0.067561 0.143414 0.297490 0.636356
2026-01-25 0.006656 0.014790 0.031742 0.069614 0.152473 0.326011 0.719701
2026-02-01 0.005879 0.013475 0.029789 0.067348 0.152044 0.334761 0.761892
2026-02-08 0.005367 0.012676 0.028833 0.067122 0.156018 0.353342 0.828132
2026-02-15 0.004884 0.011872 0.027760 0.066478 0.158939 0.369909 0.891900
2026-02-22 0.004588 0.011469 0.027539 0.067775 0.166509 0.397859 0.985904
2026-03-01 0.004193 0.010770 0.026540 0.067073 0.169203 0.414774 1.055532
2026-03-08 0.003774 0.009952 0.025149 0.065224 0.168830 0.424298 1.108096
2026-03-15 0.003396 0.009188 0.023796 0.063288 0.167981 0.432529 1.158439
2026-03-22 0.003218 0.008928 0.023681 0.064542 0.175532 0.462742 1.270068
2026-03-29 0.003009 0.008555 0.023228 0.064839 0.180588 0.487152 1.369427